AJ JAFF

AJ Jaff is a retired officer of the Canadian Armed Forces and a recognized expert in international security, crisis management, and geopolitical risk. He advises multinational corporations and executive leadership teams on navigating global threats, regional volatility, and operational continuity in complex environments. He currently serves as Global Head of Security for a multinational organization. The views expressed are his own.

A man holds a flag with a picture of late leader of the Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, late Supreme Leader of Iran Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and Iran's new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, during a rally in Tehran, Iran, April 29, 2026.

Iran did not win the war, it won something more dangerous - opinion

The war didn’t collapse Iran. It cemented its control over Hormuz, rewired its alliances, and strengthened the very institutions the US targeted.

MAY 24, 2026

Anti-missile batteries fire interception missiles toward incoming ballistic missiles launched from Iran, as seen over Tel Aviv, during the war with Iran and ongoing missile fire toward Israel, March 7, 2026.

Iran’s missile fire rate has collapsed by 92%: What comes next? - analysis

A data-driven comparison of Iranian ballistic missile and drone operations across Operation Rising Lion and Operation Roaring Lion/Epic Fury from March 9 with scenario modelling through March 23

MARCH 10, 2026

Iran's weakest points are not in the capital, rather in the provinces dominated by ethnic minorities who have borne the brunt of the Islamic Republic's repression for over four decades.

Iran's periphery holds the key: Why Roaring Lion needs teeth on the ground - opinion

A case for Kurdish, Baloch, and Ahwazi autonomy - and the no-fly zone that makes it possible.

MARCH 2, 2026

Why airstrikes alone won’t deter Iran: A case for a no-fly zone strategy - opinion

A no-fly zone over key Iranian regions could disrupt Iran's nuclear progress, weaken its military, and shift internal pressure, offering a strategic alternative to airstrikes and economic sanctions.

JULY 22, 2025