Gold prices have soared to a record high, breaking above $3,300 per ounce this week, as investors flock to precious metals amid ongoing global economic uncertainty and a weakening U.S. dollar. The sharp rally has brought renewed attention to silver, which historically lags gold during early-stage bull markets but often accelerates rapidly once momentum builds.
As of Friday morning in New York, spot gold traded at $3,363.00 per ounce, according to data from Bloomberg. Silver followed the upward trend, reaching $38.29 per ounce, its highest level since 2011 when it peaked briefly near $50.
The price movements have sparked growing interest from technical analysts, including Otavio (Tavi) Costa, portfolio manager at Crescat Capital. In a tweet posted on July 18, Costa wrote:
The chart Costa shared highlights past episodes when gold’s breakout coincided with a dramatic silver rally, most notably during the late 1970s and again in 2010–2011. These periods were marked by economic stress, inflation fears, and increased investor appetite for hard assets, similar to current macroeconomic conditions.
Technical Setup and Market Dynamics
The “cup-and-handle” formation in silver, a bullish continuation pattern in technical analysis, is drawing attention for its duration and scale. Analysts note that the current setup has been forming for over a decade, suggesting a potential breakout could be substantial.
“Silver tends to outperform gold during the later stages of a precious metals bull market,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, in a note earlier this month. “Given gold’s breakout, silver could soon be playing catch-up.”
Silver is also supported by strong industrial demand. The metal is used extensively in solar panels, electric vehicles, and electronics, all sectors expected to grow rapidly as countries invest in decarbonization.
“Beyond monetary drivers, the structural demand from green energy transitions continues to provide a compelling case for silver,” added Hansen.
Silver’s last major rally occurred in April 2011, when prices briefly touched $49.80 per ounce, according to historical COMEX data. That peak was driven by both speculative momentum and concerns over fiat currency devaluation during the aftermath of the 2008 global financial crisis.
The current gold-to-silver ratio, roughly 88 at press time, remains well above its long-term average of around 60, suggesting silver may be undervalued relative to gold. Analysts believe a narrowing of this ratio could provide tailwinds for silver investors.
While bullish sentiment is growing, market watchers caution that precious metals remain volatile assets. “Momentum is clearly on gold’s side, but silver is notoriously more volatile,” said Carsten Fritsch, precious metals analyst at Commerzbank. “If inflation expectations or interest rate trajectories shift, these gains could reverse quickly.”
Nevertheless, Costa’s chart and commentary have struck a chord with investors watching for signs that silver may follow gold’s breakout. Should historical patterns repeat, silver could be on the verge of a breakout that mirrors past parabolic moves.