The opposition bloc in the Knesset would achieve a majority of 61 seats if an election were held today, according to the findings of a poll conducted by Lazar Research and Panel4All, published on Friday.
This is the first time in three weeks that the poll found the opposition would achieve a majority, not including Arab parties.
These results come amid ongoing concerns over the Gaza Strip, attempts to advance the haredi (ultra-Orthodox) IDF draft law, and a bill to split the role of the attorney-general.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition bloc has lost two seats, one from Likud and one from Otzma Yehudit, since the last survey.
In addition, Benny Gantz’s Blue and White Party, Yoaz Hendel’s Reservists Party, Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party, and the Arab party Balad failed to pass the electoral threshold.
The results of the poll found that if an election were to occur today, Likud would receive 25 seats, former prime minister Naftali Bennett’s party would receive 21 seats, and Yair Golan’s Democrats Party 12.
Additionally, Avigdor Liberman’s Yisrael Beytenu would receive 10 seats, while Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid, Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar!, and the haredi party Shas would each receive nine.
Itamar Ben-Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit and haredi party United Torah Judaism would each receive seven seats.
Arab parties Hadash-Ta’al and Ra’am received six and five seats, respectively.
Should the opposition bloc form a grand coalition with Netanyahu?
The poll found that 46% of respondents believe that if the opposition cannot form a government without Netanyahu, they should join a grand coalition government that includes him. However, 37% of respondents stated that Netanyahu should not be included under these circumstances, even if it led to new elections, while 17% were unsure.
The poll also asked respondents’ views on the IDF draft law being formulated by the government. The poll found that 43% of respondents opposed the proposed law, 27% supported it, and 30% were unsure.
The poll broke this down by coalition and opposition voters, finding that 40% of coalition voters and 16% of opposition voters supported the law. In contrast, 19% of coalition voters and 61% of opposition voters opposed it. This leaves 41% of coalition voters and 21% of opposition voters unsure.
The poll also found that there is no clear position among the public on the bill that aims to split the role of the attorney-general. The respondents were split almost evenly, with 39% supporting the bill, 30% opposing it, and 31% having no opinion.
The poll was conducted on October 29-30, surveying 501 respondents.