ByYONAH JEREMY BOB
Updated:

IDF Home Front Command on Thursday said it assumes that Iran learns new tactics after each conflict and will pose an even greater threat to the home front whenever another war erupts.

While there is no anticipated date for a future war, the IDF is worried about the home front being harmed, including the parameters of a possible Iran deal currently being negotiated by the Trump administration.

So far, the greatest threat to Israel’s home front has been Iran’s large, fast, precise, and powerful ballistic missiles. All indications are that the Trump-Iran deal will largely or completely ignore the ballistic-missile issue.

That situation has left the IDF, in general, and Home Front Command, in particular, stuck in an extended period of uncertainty about its preparedness for potentially returning to a war footing, or whether it can start to release more of its emergency reserve soldiers back to their regular lives.

IDF Home Front Command said it had originally prepared for 30 to 60 days of war, but that the US, and not Israel, did not determine when the war would start, escalate, or pause, or when it would be considered fully concluded.

ISRAELI SECURITY and rescue forces at the scene where a missile fired from Iran toward Israel caused damage in Ramat Gan, April 6, 2026.
ISRAELI SECURITY and rescue forces at the scene where a missile fired from Iran toward Israel caused damage in Ramat Gan, April 6, 2026. (credit: AVSHALOM SASSONI/FLASH90)

Israel fears Iran will adapt weapons after 2026 war

This has created significant uncertainty and posed major challenges for crisis and planning for the home front.

To that extent, the IDF has said even US policy has fluctuated wildly, with US President Donald Trump at one point putting a four-week cap on the war, and then extending it to six weeks, without even addressing the many imminent threats of returning to war since the April 7 ceasefire.

Despite these problems, Home Front Command said the damage to Israel during the 2026 war has been less than that of the 12-day war with Iran in June 2025.

This is partially due to Israel’s improved defenses, but is also related to broader factors not specifically connected to Israel, such as the US being much more involved in the 2026 war, and Iran deciding to fire more missiles at the UAE and 11 other Arab and Muslim countries than at Israel.

In other words, Israel and the US striking Iran simultaneously reduced how many missiles Tehran could fire, and even when it did, it launched more than 60% – according to some, far more – of its missiles at countries other than Israel.